Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Fiji,
Exposed population 160 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 259 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (17 Dec 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 241 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 259 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

241 km/h Current Max.

Up to 160000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 204 2 thousand No people
Green 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 185 730 thousand No people Fiji
Green 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 176 330 thousand No people Fiji
Green 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 176 350 thousand No people Fiji
Green 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 176 710 thousand No people Fiji
Orange 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 185 760 thousand 30 thousand Fiji
Red 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 194 800 thousand 250 thousand Fiji
Red 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 194 910 thousand 690 thousand Fiji
Red 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 185 910 thousand 730 thousand Fiji
Red 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 204 910 thousand 670 thousand Fiji
Red 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 213 910 thousand 480 thousand Fiji
Red 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 213 910 thousand 490 thousand Fiji
Red 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 213 910 thousand 490 thousand Fiji
Orange 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 222 910 thousand 90 thousand Fiji
Red 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 222 920 thousand 110 thousand Fiji
Red 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 241 910 thousand 160 thousand Fiji

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -13.7, 172.9
GREEN
2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -14.2, 173.7
GREEN
3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -15.1, 173.3
GREEN
4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.3, 172.7
GREEN
5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.5, 172.6
GREEN
6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -15.7, 172.3
GREEN
7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.8, 171.9
GREEN
8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -15.8, 171.7
GREEN
9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -15.6, 171.6
GREEN
10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.4, 172.1
GREEN
11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -15, 172.4
GREEN
12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -14.9, 173
GREEN
13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 Category 4 222 no people no people -14.8, 173.1
GREEN
14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 4 250 no people no people -14.7, 173.5
GREEN
15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 Category 5 259 no people 7400 people -14.6, 174.1
GREEN
16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 5 259 no people 480000 people -15, 175
ORANGE
16 16 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 5 259 43000 people 910000 people -15.8, 176.5
RED
16 17 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 4 241 160000 people 910000 people -16.6, 178.2
GREEN
16 17 Dec 2020 18:00 Category 4 222 6900 people 910000 people -18, 179.7
GREEN
16 18 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 3 204 <1000 people 360000 people -19.7, -179.3
GREEN
16 19 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 2 167 no people <1000 people -22, -179.1
GREEN
16 20 Dec 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -24, 179.4
GREEN
16 21 Dec 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -25.4, 177.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Fiji

Provinces

Region Province Country
Fiji Fiji

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Korovou Fiji City <1000 people
Levuka Fiji City 4700 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Turtle Island TTL unknown 0
Bua BVF unknown 0
Vanuabalavu VBV unknown 0
Bureta Levuka Air LEV unknown 0
Saqani AQS unknown 0
Laucala Island LUC unknown 0
Wakaya Island KAY unknown 0
Koro KXF unknown 0
Ngau NGI unknown 0
Moala MFJ unknown 0
Ono-I-Lau ONU unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Savusavu Fiji
Levuka FJLEV Fiji

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Naruwai, Fiji. This height is estimated for 17 Dec 2020 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (96 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 16 Dec 2020 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Naruwai Fiji  1.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Ndalomo Fiji  1.2
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  1.1
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Nawailevu Fiji  1.0
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Savu Sau Fiji  1.0
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Navinggiri Fiji  1.0
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Thavanga Fiji  0.9
17 Dec 2020 07:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.9
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.9
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.9
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.8
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Makongai Fiji  0.5
17 Dec 2020 04:00 Teci Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 04:00 Mbukama Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Rave-rave Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.4
17 Dec 2020 11:00 Natua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 05:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 05:00 Sisili Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 05:00 Nacula Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Dalice Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Nasau Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 05:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Waisa Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 03:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 03:00 Navotua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 11:00 Korovou Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Nakondu Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 02:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Ndaria Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 01:00 Tavua Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Naweni Fiji  0.3
17 Dec 2020 05:00 Soso Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Nasau Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Naingani Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Levuka Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Navuti Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Laucala Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Lauthala Bay Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Suva Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 12:00 Tamavua Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Cautata Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Vione Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 17:00 Vandravandra Fiji  0.2
18 Dec 2020 00:00 Andako Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 01:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Nasilai Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 22:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Nathamaki Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 11:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
18 Dec 2020 00:00 Vanuavatu Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 10:00 Nukusa Fiji  0.2
17 Dec 2020 16:00 Sawaieke Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Qeleni Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Lokia Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Kalokolevu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 09:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 06:00 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Naindi Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 14:00 Korovou Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 22:00 Keteira Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Malake Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Lao Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Nawi Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 13:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Navakawau Fiji  0.1
18 Dec 2020 03:00 Namuka Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 01:00 Solevu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 01:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 08:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
17 Dec 2020 15:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1